Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Today's semifinals (07.25)

Weekends are obviously busy for me, so this review is a bit late as games are in progress.

Ibaraki

• (S) Jyousou Gakuin v Shimotsuma Dai-ni
• (S) Kasumigaura v Meishuu Hitachi

At a first glance, it looks like we're headed for a matchup between arguably 2 of the better teams in prefecture - Jyousou Gakuin and Kasumigaura. Jyousou Gakuin's only close game was their first against Tsuchiura Kohoku.

As for Kasumigaura, they recently broke through the ceiling to approach Tier 2 status after finally getting to Koushien in 2013. The only question for Kasumigaura is that their last game against Hasaki Yanagawa  they traded leads from 1-0, to 1-2, to 3-2, to 3-4 to 5-4. Now, they won, so that's the important part. But Meishuu Hitachi has a score to settle of their own. Their runs in 2013 and 2015 ended at the hands of Kasumigaura. So you bet they would like to exorcise some demons today.

Chiba

• Narashino v ⑨~⑯Shiritsu Funabashi
• ⑤~⑧ Kisaradzu Sougou v ①~④ Chiba Keizaidai Fuzoku

Narashino is making a run as an unseeded team no less. beating both Narita and Tokyo Gakkan Urayasu. That's impressive, but given their runs as of late it doesn't feel all that genuine yet. It may not until they win the title. Shiritsu Funabashi hasn't played anyone of note, and the win against top seed Chiba Reimei is a bit hollow. But the unknown factor can't be ignored.

The other semifinal matchup are two well-known schools. Kisaradzu Sougou has passed some tough tests, defeating both last year's winner Senshuudai Matsudo, and borderline Tier 2 school Toukaidai Ichihara Bouyou (they seemed to have added the Ichihara bit).

Chiba Keizaidai Fuzoku is another borderline Tier 2 school, though recently have just been making deep runs without finishing. Their schedule seems the easiest of the 4, but they have won their games with relative ease. Kisaradzu Sougou will be their biggest test.

Nishi Tokyo

• ① Toukaidai Sugao vs. ③~⑦ Nichidai-san
• ③~⑦ Souka vs. ② Hachiouji

Well, this looks scratch, but teams are missing. Waseda Jitsugyou? Gone. Nichidai Tsurugaoka? Also gone. Instead, there are 3 other brand names, and one outsider that seems to be stronger than ever looking for their first bid!

The first game you could see as a final. Both schools have been making solid runs, with perhaps a blip in the road for Nichidai-san in their 2-0 win over Meisei. While Toukaidai Sugao has had the tougher competition, Nichidai-san outranks them in terms of brand name.

Souka has been a solid Tier 3 school, as noted by their losses to teams like Toukaidai Sugao, Nishogakushadai Fuzoku and Nichidai-san. They can make deeps runs, but can't seem to get over the hump.

Hachiouji has been bordering on Tier 3 status recently, losing to teams like Waseda Jitsugyou, Toukaidai Sugao and Nishogakushadai Fuzoku.

Well, Hachiouji exorcised one of those demons 2 days ago when they sent the fighting Kiyomiya's (Waseda Jitsugyou) home with a 6-4 win. It's a start, and Souka should be a better challenge for them, but the finals would still await against a major school...

Ishikawa

• (S) Seiryou v Komatsu Ootani
• (S) Yuugakukan v Nihon Koukuu Ishikawa

Fate likes to play tricks it seems. For the 3rd year in a row, Seiryou and Komatsu Ootani fight. But the scales still fall Seiryou's way. After all, their 9 runs in the 9th was for the title. Komatsu Ootani's 4 runs in 9th was just to get to the finals (where they lost).

Karma would say that Komatsu Ootani should still get some payback. But the scores so far indicate otherwise. Komatsu Ootani has had to work for just about every win. Seiryou has not lost by less than 6 runs. The math seems clear.

In the other semi, defending champs Yuugakukan have not had any peace, moving on by the skin of their teeth against Komatsu and Kanazawa. This compared to Nihon Koukuu Ishikawa who has scored 9 or more runs in each of their game, but have not faced anyone of note. Yuugakukan has been able to fight the close game, so they might have an edge if they do keep it close (which it seems like it might).

Fukui

• Fukui Shougyou v Okuetsu Meisei
• Hokuriku v Sakai

What? Only Fukui Shougyou is left?

Yep. Fukui Shougyou ousted Fukui Koudai Fukui, and of all teams Sakai sent home Tsuruga Kehi.

Fukui Shougyou certainly has the inside line of the 4 schools by brand name and scores.

Both Okuetsu Meisei and Hokuriku's runs are odd. Neither have done much of anything and then recently both have had unexpected success. Weird, and I have no explanation.

Sakai is a new school, but comes from familiar roots. It's a combination of Sakai Nougyou...

... and Harue Kougyou.

Well, that explains it. And weirdly, the merger wasn't complete in 2016, so in last year's natsu taikai, Sakai lost in the first round... to Harue Kougyou. That's not awkward at all.

But after a 1st round spring taikai loss, they've come back and made their mark, upsetting Tsuruga Kehi 4-2.in 15 innings. It will yet to be seen how quickly this school competes for the title. It's almost there now.

Shiga

• Shiga Gakuen v Oumi
• Takashima v Shiga Tankidai Fuzoku

No Kita-Ootsu? None of the burgeoning Oumi Kyoudaisha? Nope.

Instead we have Shiga Gakuen and Oumi, but facing off in the semifinals. Both were fortunate to not have drawn into the zones fo the 2 aforementioned teams. And both ran roughshod over the field to get to this point. The only difference is that Shiga Gakuen survived a 12-9 game against Kousen - a possible bump in the road right when they face one of the prefectural powerhouses.

Both teams in the other semifinal were responsible for ousting the seeded teams, but again it's weird. For Shiga Tankidai Fuzoku, their last win before this Natsu taikai was the Natsu 2nd round...

...in 2014.

For Takashima, if we ignore spring (because it doesn't directly lead to Koushien), their last win was the 2nd round of the Aki taikai...

...in 2014.

I really don't know what to make of it other than that Shiga Tankidai Fuzoku has had the smoother run of the two. But that doesn't mean anything. So the best I can do is shrug my shoulders. You've got me on this one.

Kochi
(As this was rained out, this will be covered in tomorrow's post.)

Kumamoto

• (S) Shuugakukan v (S) Buntoku
• (S) Chiharadai v (S) Kyushu Gakuin

Augh, I hate my computer, I had this done, and then blogger f'd up somehow and posted like 5 copies of the entry and I deleted the copies only to have this one not actually have what I wrote.

But here the basic gist was that all 4 teams were seeded, 3 of which are known names, with Chiharadai being the only "outsider" as a Tier 3 school. Shuugakukan and Buntoku have been tested facing former Koushien participants, but Shuugakukan played Seiseikou and Kumamoto Kougyou as opposed to Buntoku defeating Jyouhoku.

Chiharadai and Kyushu Gakuin have not had such testing, and Chiharadai's games have been much closer than the rest. So you have to expect Kyushu Gakuin to have the edge here.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Championship Recap (07.24)

Alright, a lot of tickets punched yesterday, but not for 1 prefecture...
So, here's what's on tap for today (7/24 in Japan). If it says it's on Asahi, the link to the stream can be found on their site (http://www.asahi.com/koshien/)

Iwate - Moriokadai Fuzoku

Ichinoseki Gakuin fared better than I thought though I didn't watch the final. It was scoreless until the 8th when with 1 out and the bases loaded, their #3 batter Ueda hits a sac fly to score the only run of the game. As a result, Moriokadai Fuzoku gets to return to Natsu Koushien for the 3rd time in 5 years.

Fukushima - Seikou Gakuin

Kounan was so close, oh so close to defeating Seikou Gakuin to break up the 9 year run. But dangit if that curse of finally beating the team that has beaten you down came right in. Single, double, single, sac fly, single, double, and just like that a 4-2 lead for Kounan was a 6-4 deficit...

*sighs*

Tochigi - Sakushin Gakuin

There isn't much to say here, it was a rematch of the finals from last year and Kokugakuin Tochigi gave up 7 runs in the first. 15-6 and they have their 6th consecutive appearance.

Yamanashi - Yamanashi Gakuin

For two teams who gave up a combined 7 runs in 8 games, this game was shocking. Not just because of the high scoring, but because the defending champs seemed to have no answers - especially on the mound. Yes, they did take the lead with 4 runs in the 4th, but Yamanashi Gakuin fired right back taking those runs away. In the end it was a laugher with Yamanashi Gakuin winning 12-5!

Niigata - Chuuetsu

Boy, I kinda wished I had not grabbed dinner when I did because it went from a 2-1 Niigata Meikun lead to a 10-2 Chuuetsu blowout. It perhaps was coming with the troubles they had against Maki, but to the extent that Chuuetsu scored 7 in the lucky 7 is shocking.

Nagano - Saku Chousei

All Matsushou Gakuen was able to prove was that at best they are a Tier 3 school. They had no answers for Saku Chousei (who was lower seeded), and the team was not crisp on defense. There's a long way to go for the former powerhouse...

Shimane - Izumo(!)

Sure, it's not like either team could be heavily favored, but at least Risshoudai Shounan could say they've been here before. But the manner in which Izumo controlled the game start to finish was shocking. Ace Hara Satoru (原 暁) pitched a 3-hitter, though walking 5 in a 6-1 dismantling of Risshoudai Shounan. They get their first ever Koushien appearance. Good for them.

Nagasaki - Nagasaki Shougyou

This was the game I was focused on.

Nagasaki Shougyou would open the scoring with a timely 2-out single to left by Inoue. Little did we know that that would end up being the only run of the game.

That's because Oomura Kougyou had many good chances to tie the game, but couldn't get the runner home. Their last chance was in the 8th with runners at the corners and 1 down, but even then they couldn't get as little as a sac fly. So Nagasaki Shougyou goes to Koushien instead with a hard earned win.

Kagoshima - TBD

Huh? What happened here?

Well, a lot and nothing at the same time. The teams were deadlocked at 1-1 since the 4th, but as the 9th inning approached, the advantage seemingly was with Shounan. But despite getting a runner to 3rd, and Kagoshima Jitsugyou loading the bases to create a force at every bag, they couldn't get the run home.

And as enchousen progressed, it was Shounan who kept on threatening with a runner in scoring position:

• 11th inning - 1st/2nd, 2 out - flyout to left.
• 12th inning - Leadoff double, failed bunt, intentional walk, bunt, intentional walk - K looking

After that, the teams entered what I call the march to the 15th. Both teams are no doubt tired, and are pressing to try and end the game before the tie in the 15th. But the pressing leads to quick outs and the result neither are wanting.

The 13th and 14th go without issue, but in the bottom of the 15th, Shounan gets one last chance. With one down, there's a base hit past the diving SS. Shounan plays for one final hit, bunting the runner over.

After another intentional walk, Shounan pulls all the tricks out of the bag as #14 Miyashita Shouji comes to bat. On the 2-1 pitch he singles a ball to left! The 3B coach is sending the runner home! The throw comes in...

OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Kagoshima Jitsugyou denies Shounan once again, and the game ends in a 1-1 draw! And that means after a day's rest, the teams will take the field to replay the title game.

And this has to be devastating for Shounan. For ace Hamaya, it's been 13 innings, 15 innings (and 190 pitches) on two consecutive days, and then tomorrow another 9. I cannot see how they are going to take the title now.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Upcoming semifinals (07.24)

And now for the semifnals:

Kyoto

• (S) Tounan vs. Fukuchiyama Seibi
• Ritsumeikan Uji vs. (S) Kyoto Shouei

Okayama

• ⑤~⑧ Soushi Gakuen vs. ①~④ Okayama Sanyou
• ⑤~⑧ Tamano Kounan vs. ⑤~⑧ Kurashiki Shougyou

Hiroshima

• (S) Jyosuikan vs. (S) Kouryou
• (S) Iwatoku vs. (S) Hiroshima Shinjyou

All known teams, with Iwatoku the only Tier 3 school among them.

Weirdly, for as good as Jyosuikan and Kouryou are, it's been a while since they've seen each other in a tournament (2014 spring taikai). So it'll be interesting to see the pair face off, though perhaps both would have liked it to be the finals. Though, in looking at the other pairing, it might actually be the case as neither Iwatoku or Hiroshima Shinjyou have played anyone of note, and have either been in close games (Hiroshima Shinjyou) are suddenly running into a roadblock when things were going swimmingly in early rounds (Iwatoku). The same could be said for Jyosuikan and Kouryou, but both have their status on their side and for Kouryou, yesterday's 11-1 win was the first game they yielded a run.

Kagawa

• (S) Ootemae Takamatsu vs. (S) Takamatsu Shougyou
• Kanonji Chuo vs. Jinsei Gakuen

Saga

• (S) Saga Shougyou vs. Imari
• (S) Ryuukoku vs. Karatsu Shougyou

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Upcoming finals (07.24)

So, here's what's on tap for today (7/24 in Japan). If it says it's on Asahi, the link to the stream can be found on their site (http://www.asahi.com/koshien/)

Iwate - Finals (On Asahi - 2100 PDT)

• (S) Ichinoseki Gakuin (一関学院) vs. (S) Moriokadai Fuzoku  (盛岡大付)

So Ichinoseki Gakuin does get a chance to compete for the finals, but given the two performances yesterday, Moriokadai Fuzoku is the prohibitive favorite to take the title.

Fukushima - Finals (On Asahi - 1900 PDT)

• ① Seikou Gakuin (聖光学院) vs. ② Kounan (光南)

Well, you can watch, but you can almost put money on Seikou Gakuin to take the title, again.

Tochigi - Finals

• (S) Sakushin Gakuin vs. (S) Kokugakuin Tochigi

Both teams won going away and got a break for the finals. But the burden of proof is on Kokugakuin Tochigi to prove that they have the chops to beat Sakushin Gakuin.

Yamanashi - Finals

• ①~④ Toukaidai Koufu vs. ①~④ Yamanashi Gakuin

Both teams pitched shutouts to get to the finals. Yamanashi Gakuin's win 7-0 made me take notice like I said it would, but like I said before, it'll be a show me game for them.

Niigata - Finals (On Asahi - 2100 PDT)

• ① Niigata Meikun vs. ② Chuuetsu

Chuuetsu finally had their first tough game against Kamo Gyousei, only pulling away later in the game, this while Niigata Meikun 4 runs in the 8th was enough for the gyakuten 6-4 win over Maki. 

Chuuetsu may still have the inside track over Niigata Meikun, but it's not as clear cut now..

Nagano - Finals (On Asahu - 1800 PDT)

• ⑤ Saku Chousei vs. ② Matsushou Gakuen

In the end, there was no revenge to be had, though one got close. Tokyo Shidai Shiojiri had their chances, but it was Matsushou Gakuen who capitalized on them early, so by the break they were faced with a 5-run deficit that eventually proved to be too much. Komoro Shougyou was trying to make a 3-run 1st inning, and a 3-2 game after 2 stick. But in the 8th the gates could not be held and Saku Chousei scored 4 in the 8th to win 6-3.

At this point you could argue that Matsushou Gakuen has the edge, but seeing as though they haven't been able to go to Natsu Koushien for a while, it's more of a "prove it" situation for them.

Shimane - Finals (On Asahi - 2100 PDT)

• Risshoudai Shounan vs. Izumo

Well, both seeded teams lost, but again I wasn't really keen on any of them. Risshoudai Shounan made easy work of Kaisei winning 7-0. Izumo make a 4-0 lead stick to defeat Taisha.

Does that mean that Risshoudai Shounan is favored? At this point, probably.

Nagasaki - Finals (On Asahi - 2100 PDT)

• (S) Oomura Kougyou vs. (S) Nagasaki Shougyou

The first result was a bit unexpected, the second not so much.

Oomura Kogyou wasn't looking good early, but right after the break they exploded for 4 runs. Now, they almost gave it away late in the (OMG, we're about to beat X team, OH GOD it's a base hit, NOOO they're coming back, WHY DOES THIS HAPPEN TO US) mindset, but they managed to close it out.

Seihou meanwhile continues to underwhelm post Imamura. Yes, they scuffled with Nagasaki Shougyou, but errors were their downfall as they fell 3-2.

The good news is that Oomura Kougyou doesn't have to worry about the powerhouse mindset seeping in. The bad news is that I can't pick them to win. But I can't pick Nagasaki Shougyou either. Flip a coin.

Kagoshima - Finals (On Asahi - 2105 PDT)

• (S) Kagoshima Jitsugyou (S) Shounan

The narrative completely flips after the semifinals. Shibushi rolled over to Kagoshima Jitsugyou, letting them go just 4.5 innings and get rest. Shounan meanwhile, couldn't put away Sendai in the 9th, and instead needed 13 innings to win 5-3.

When you have 0 days rest, Kajitsu' 5 innings on the mound versus Shounan 13 means that any advantage Shounan had until this point is gone. All bets are off.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Upcoming semifinals (07.23)

So aside from the semifinals from my prior post:

Iwate

• (S) Ichinoseki Gakuin vs. (S) Ichinoseki Kougyou
• (S) Moriokadai Fuzoku vs. Senshuudai Kitami

Fukushima

• ① Seikou Gakuin vs. ⑤ Nichidai Tohoku
• ② Kounan vs. ③ Shouin Gakuen Fukushima

Tochigi

• (S) Sakushin Gakuin vs. (S) Yasaka Chuo
• Motegi vs. (S) Kokugakuin Tochigi

Yamanashi

• ①~④ Toukaidai Koufu vs. Teikyou Dai-san
• ①~④ Nihon Koukuu vs. ①~④ Yamanashi Gakuin

Shimane

• ①~④ Kaisei vs. Risshoudai Shounan
• ①~④ Taisha vs. Izumo

Nagasaki

• (S) Souseikan vs. (S) Oomura Kougyou
• (S) Seihou vs. (S) Nagasaki Shougyou

Kagoshima

• (S) Kagoshima Jitsugyou vs. Shibushi
• Sendai vs. (S) Shounan

We have the following ones on tap for this weekend:

Akita

What the hell happened in Akita? Sure, they're weak as all heck (they were winless from 1998-2010 - let that sink in), but you still usually see the usual suspects going to Koushien anyways...

• ⑧ Oodate Kokusai def Akita Shougyou 3-2 ??!!

Sure, Akita Shougyou was unseeded, but they were responsible for 4 of the prefectures 5 wins in the last 5 years, including 2 last year to get to the Best 8. And yet, they made 3 runs in the first inning stick. Also note that Oodate Kokusai has not gone to Koushien at all.

• ④ Oomagari Kougyou def Oodate Keiou 5-3

Now, think about this, Oodate Keiou was the merger of 3 schools - Oodate Katsura, Oodate, and Oodate Kougyou. And in the spring, they went 3-2, thought one of their losses was Noshiro Shouyou 10-0. But they won 3 games to get to the quarterfinals and they even had a 3-2 lead going into the bottom of the 8th. But ace Seki gave up 3 in the frame and that was that. Still impressive for a team incepted this year. Oomagari Kougyou is looking for their 1st Natsu appearance.

• Noshiro Kougyou def Akita Shuuei 5-4

This quadrant was by far the weakest, and it showed as both seeded teams were eliminated. Neither team looked all that impressive in their games to this point, but both were fighting to keep their run for their first Koushien appearance alive. Noshiro Kougyou never trailed, but blew a 3-0 lead, and almost blew a 5-3 lead in the 9th, but they move on.

• Kakunodate def ⑦ Noshiro Shouyou 1-0

Kakunodate is the only remaining semifinalist who has been to Koushien, but that was in 2014, after losing in the finals the prior year. This year, facing the team that they eliminated in the finals to go to Koushien... well there's only 1 way to put this:

Kogita Atsuya (小木田 敦也) walks 1 in a no-hitter.

Yep, Kakunodate no-hit Noshiro Shouyou. *drops mic*

Niigata

With Nihon Bunri's loss in the round of 16 to Nagaoka Oote, Niigata Meikun and Chuuetsu were slated to be the front runners to win.

• ① Niigata Meikun vs. ⑨~⑯ Maki
• ⑤~⑧ Kamo Gyousei vs. ② Chuuetsu

And here we are, with both teams just 1 win away from facing off for the title.

Niigata Meikun seemed to have a hiccup in the quarterfinals against Nagaoka Shougyou, but ace Hirota Shouichirou kept them at bay, pitching a 4-hit shutout though he only struck out 4. Meanwhile Chuuetsu continues to gain steam, defeating Teikyou Nagaoka 10-1 in 7 while being the recipient of 14 free passes, while leaving 11 men on base. I can't comprehend that.

But Chuuetsu certainly has the inside track over Niigata Meikun right now.

Nagano

Nagano is pretty much the equivalent of a middling NBA team, they good enough to win at least a game, but not good enough to make a deep run. 7 times since 2000 they have won at least 1 game, but none of the teams have gone past the 3rd round.

• Komoro Shougyou vs. ⑤ Saku Chousei
• Tokyo Shidai Shirojiri vs. ② Matsushou Gakuen

Ueda Nishi ran into a brick wall in the quarterfinals, losing 10-2 in 7 innings to Tokyo Shidai Shiojiri, so no repeat champion here. But now they're facing Matsushou Gakuen, who is (a) certainly hungry to get back to Koushien after years of disappointing runs and (b) is solely responsible for 3 of their 4 losses since 2015. You know there is a score to settle.

There's also a score to settle in the other semifinal as well. See, Komoro Shougyou and Saku Chousei faced each other last summer as well. And also in the semifinals... it was a closely contested affair, but Saku Chousei won 3-2. Komoro Shougyou has never been to Koushien, but looks on the other side of the bracket and has to think that if they can exercise this demon they have a fighting chance in the final.

Kyoto

Times are a changing again in Kyoto...

• (S) Tounan vs. Fukuchiyama Seibi
• Ritsumeikan Uji vs. (S) Kyoto Shouei

Oddly, the two teams who have been more prominent were unseeded, but then again, if they based it on the spring taikais, it means nothing. Tounan is looking for their first Koushien title, and Kyoto Shouei's only appearance, they took Tsuruga Kehi the distance, losing 6-5.

Tounan's games have been getting closer and closer the further they progress, and this not having played anyone of note. So Fukuchiyama Seibi will be a huge step up.

Speaking of which, Fukuchiyama Seibi has passed their biggest test, defeating Ryuukokudai Heian in the round of 16 3-2. They're not going to give a dominating performance, but they should be the favorite.

Ritsumeikan Uji can write down that they beat last year's champions Toba 3-0, but they didn't score those runs until the final 2 innings. And outside of their game against Kyoto Subaru, all of their games have been close.

Kyoto Shouei in 3 of their 4 games had pitched nothing but donuts. Yet against Hokuriku, they found themselves trailing 5-1. But they scored 1 in the 7th and 2 in the 9th to send the game to enchousen where they would win 2 innings later. Not sure what to make of it all, so I guess we'll have to see if that game was just a bump in the road or not.

Okayama

Welp, Kanzei crashed and burned. Who's left is mostly brand names, save for one:

• ⑤~⑧ Soushi Gakuen vs. ①~④ Okayama Sanyou
• ⑤~⑧ Tamano Kounan vs. ⑤~⑧ Kurashiki Shougyou

Oddly, that is the only top seed left in the tournament, Okayama Sanyou. However, they have not faced any of the top competition (mostly because they're the ones that are left), so facing Soushi Gakuen (who shutout Okayama Ridai Fuzoku) is going to be a big ask.

Kurashiki Shougyou was the party that eliminated Kanzei, and have been pretty consistent in their 3 games. Tamano Kounan's offense has gotten better as the team has progressed, but their pitching has also given up runs as well.

Expect the spring representatives (Soushi Gakuen) to play to be the summer representative as well against Kurashiki Shougyou.

Kagawa

Takamatsu Shougyou is on a mission to get to the Koushien finals again it seems. That loss to Chiben Gakuen must've left a bad taste in their mouths...

• (S) Ootemae Takamatsu vs. (S) Takamatsu Shougyou
• Kanonji Chuo vs. Jinsei Gakuen

Takamatsu Shougyou has won 12-0, 8-1 and 16-0. They look by far the front runner to go to Koushien, but will the get as favorable as a draw as they did in the spring?

Saga

Well, Waseda Saga seems to be still a ways off (thankfully) as they were blanked by Ryuukoku 10-0. Who's left in Saga is mostly upper-tier schools:

• (S) Saga Shougyou vs. Imari
• (S) Ryuukoku vs. Karatsu Shougyou

Imari has their work cut out for them as Saga Shougyou survived a barnburner 9-7 over Saga Kita. Imari hasn't yielded a lot of runs so far, so there is hope, but not sure how much.

Ryuukoku, outside of the game against Waseda Saga, has been in low-scoring dogfights. Karatsu Shougyou is their opponent, who offed the seeded Kanzaki Seimei 7-3.

Oita

Meihou will not repeat as Oita representatives, losing in spectacular fashion 12-5 to Saiki Kakujyou. But while seeded teams are all left, they're not brand names, though whomever wins it will not be their first rodeo.

• ⑤~⑧ Touin vs. ⑤~⑧ Saiki Kakujyou
• ①~② Usuki vs. ③~④ Oita

Of the 4, Oita is the one who has been there most recently, but their 2014 Natsu Koushien appearance was their first. Then you go back to the 1990's for the last time Touin (1995) and Saiki Kakujyou (1996)were at Koushien in either capacity. And for the only top seed left, you have to go back to post-WWII Japan (1949) for the last time Usuki was there.

Each team has had hiccups on their way to the semifinals, and none really stand out except for maybe Saiki Kakujyou whose blemish was falling behind 5-4 before scoring 8 runs in the 4th.

Next ticket punched... Minami Hokkaido and Hokkai

Well, going in perhaps you thought that Sapporo Nichidai had at least a chance. They were a solid Tier 3* school and finally had their shot against maybe a Hokkai team that wasn't as strong as in other years.

*After a discussion yesterday, I should explain tiers. Tier 1 schools are like Osaka Touin, Seikou Gakuin, and Chiben Wakayama, who you could almost pen in to get to Koushien before the tournament starts. Tier 2 schools are most of the mainstays who go, but generally rotate with other schools - so Nichidai-san/Waseda Jitsugyou (Nishi Tokyo), Nishogakushadai Fuzoku/Kanto Dai-ichi (Higashi Tokyo), Hanamaki Higashi/Moriokadai Fuzoku (Iwate), etc. Tier 3 schools are schools who have either not gone to Koushien, or have gone very few times, but are always making deep runs in prefecture.

Anyways, as the game started, Hokkai got a double, a bunt, and a sac fly, and it was already 1-0 in the first. The next couple of innings were very tenuous for Sapporo Dai-ichi as Hokkai would continue to put baserunners on, but would hit into double plays to end the threat. Worse yet, Sapporo Dai-ichi was getting no-hit, and there wasn't even hope that they were going to get one.

In fact, they didn't get their first base runner until the 5th when they got a walk. And their first base hit wasn't until the 6th. By that time it would be too late as Hokkai would pull away with 6 unanswered. Sapporo Nichidai would prevent the shutout, but lose 7-2.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Upcoming semifinals/finals (07.22)

Ok, with everything starting to crunch up, I'm switching tack to focusing on prefectures by where they are in the qualifications as opposed to by region. Here, we will cover those prefectures in the semifinals or finals.

Minami Hokkaido - Finals
Kita Hokkaido had their finals yesterday, today it's the southern region's turn.

It's not as exciting on paper though. Hokkai is in the finals, but whose only quality win was a 4-2 victory over Hokushou. Their opponent is Sapporo Nichidai who is looking for their first title, but at least they can say they've defeated Komadai Tomakomai and Sapporo Dai-ichi.

Sapporo Nichidai may have the advantage, but Hokkai will have the "been there before" edge, which always counts for something.

Iwate - Semifinals
With Hanamaki Higashi gone, I would have said it's a free-for-all, but really Moriokadai Fuzoku gets first grab.

• (S) Ichinoseki Gakuin vs. (S) Ichinoseki Kougyou
• (S) Moriokadai Fuzoku vs. Senshuudai Kitami

*(S) = Seeded team of which there were 8.

Ichinoseki Gakuin is on a permanent disappoint status for me until they show me otherwise. Heck, they were the only school I know of that the JHBF skipped over for the 2nd Tohoku bid for a Haru Koushien for a semifinalist. That never happens.

But they're facing Ichinoseki Kougyou, who is clearly the odd team out in this scenario. So it could be that they at least reach the finals.

The other semifinal may be the championship match. Moriokadai Fuzoku has not given up a run since the 1st inning of the first game. Senshuudai Kitami has had solid wins, but the margin has narrowed as they have progressed, and Moriokadai Fuzoku is a big step up from their competition so far.

Fukushima - Semifinals

I said wake me up when Seikou Gakuin either loses or wins it all, right?

• ① Seikou Gakuin vs. ⑤ Nichidai Tohoku
• ② Kounan vs. ③ Shouin Gakuen Fukushima

Seikou Gakuin may have won 6-2 over Odaka Kougyou, but they certainly looked beatable. But Nichidai Tohoku was in a slogfest with Iwaki, and in such a high scoring game it doesn't bode well for them.

In the other semifinal, Shouin Gakuen Fukushima has been the more dominating of the two schools, yielding runs only in the game against Teikyou Asaka. As for Kounan, they had to rally to defeat Aidzu 8-6.

I don't know if any of these seeded teams can defeat Seikou Gakuin, and it looks like Shouin Gakuen Fukushima may be the best shot of the 3.

Tochigi - Semifinals

Sakushin Gakuin is going for 6 in a row, and they're in the Best 4.

• (S) Sakushin Gakuin vs. (S) Yasaka Chuo
• Motegi vs. (S) Kokugakuin Tochigi

Sakushin Gakuin did have to sweat out a game against Bunsei Geidai Fuzoku, pulling away late 6-4. If they and Kokugakuin Tochigi win, we have a rematch of last year's final where Sakushin Gakuin annihilated them 9-2.

Yamanashi - Semifinals

Yamanashi is pretty much scratch:

• ①~④ Toukaidai Koufu vs. Teikyou Dai-san
• ①~④ Nihon Koukuu vs. ①~④ Yamanashi Gakuin

Teikyou Dai-san wasn't seeded, but they're an above average team and was placed in a quadrant away from the other 3 teams. They have some work to do though because Toukaidai Koufu hasn't gone past 7 innings in any of their games, scoring at least 8 runs.

I really, really want Nihon Koukuu to win, but a 3-2 win over Koufu Shougyou is not a good sign. Combine that with Yamanashi Gakuin padding their 19-2 and 28-3 wins with a 11-0 win over Fuji Gakuen, and you may need to start taking notice, especially if they do the same to Nihon Koukuu. But the big test would be Toukaidai Koufu.

Shimane - Semifinals

More scratch stuff here.

• ①~④ Kaisei vs. Risshoudai Shounan
• ①~④ Taisha vs. Izumo

Again, Risshoudai Shounan and Izumo were unseeded, but could easily be a seeded team.

There is no front-runner right now. Kaisei has won back-to-back 3-2 games. Risshoudai Shounan could be a front runner, but the late 3-2 win over Daitou is a crack. Taisha did defeat last year's champs Iwami Chisuikan 2-1, but like Kaisei have had 2 close wins, so again not a clear favorite. And Izumo has had 2 close games as well.

But whomever wins will probably need a lot of luck come Natsu Koushien...

Nagasaki - Semifinals

Scratch scratch...

• (S) Souseikan vs. (S) Oomura Kougyou
• (S) Seihou vs. (S) Nagasaki Shougyou

4 of the 8 seeded teams made it to the Best 4. Souseikan is in only because they scored 6 in the 8th against Kaisei. That's concerning because Oomura Kougyou, looking for their first time, never trailed past the 1st inning defeating Nagasaki Nichidai 7-4. So I don't think it'll be a slam dunk.

I cling onto rooting for Seihou because of Imamura Takeru (who still seems to have just a bit part in the Hiroshima bullpen, but hey they're winning so I'll take it). The scores are good (5-2, 9-0, 10-0), but they're not against tough competition. Nagasaki Shougyou put away Hasami early in the quarterfinals, jumping out to a 6-0 lead to win 6-1.

So only Seihou has been dominant, but there are caveats to that.

Kagoshima - Semifinals

Kajitsu (aka Kagoshima Jitsugyou) appears to have the inside track for their 2nd straight title...

• (S) Kagoshima Jitsugyou vs. Shibushi
• Sendai vs. (S) Shounan

Now, they haven't played anyone of note, but they've done their job winning 6-1 and then 10-3 twice, and that's all you can ask of them. Shibushi has a big uphill climb to overcome, as they have played 4 close contests, winning all of them by 3 runs or less and the only notable one (any barely so) is a 4-3 win over Reimei in the prior round.

Sendai's last 3 games have been even closer (all 1-run affairs), culminating in defeating Kamimura Gakuen 6-5 in the bottom of the 9th. This after falling behind 4-0 in the first. However, Shounan stands in their way, and they have yet to yield a run.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Completed prefectures (as of 07.21)

3 finals concluded today and there was at least 1 surprise (though I guess it probably couldn't have been avoided).

Aomori - Hachinohe Gakuin Kousei
First the slam dunk bid. That was the Aomori final where Kousei was facing potential first-timers in Oominato.

And while it was close early, in the 3rd inning it was all but over. Having expanded their lead to 4-0 and with manrui, a defensive error by Oominato scores all 3 runners, making it 7-0. They'd score 2 more that inning en route to an 11-0 win and their 4th title in 6 years. While there is always the disclaimer that past results do not predict future performance, here are their last 3 appearances at Natsu Koushien:

• 2011 - Finals - Lost 11-0 to Nichidai-san (ugh, I'm still salty about that year)
• 2012 - Finals - Lost 3-0 to Osaka Touin (how was it that they reached 3 finals and had to face Osaka Touin both times in 2012??!!)
• 2014 - Best 8 - Lost 7-2 to Tsuruga Kehi (it was Hiranuma, what do you want?)

Kita Hokkaido - Clark Kokusai

To be honest, I didn't think about Clark Kokusai other than "hey, a school with katakana in their title!". And there wasn't anything that should have tipped me off about them. Heck they started their baseball program back in 2014!!

But there must have been something, because heck even the Clark Kokusai webpage had a page for the announcement of their kantoku Sasaki Keiji (and it looks like a real press conference!).

And if you look at his resume, it isn't half bad:

• 1978 - Kantoku of Komadai Iwamizawa
• 1983 - Took the team to the Best 8 in the Spring Koushien
• 1993 - Took the team to the Best 4 in the Spring Koushien
• 2001 - Was a coach for the Japan Asia AAA team
• 2003 - Was the kantoku for the Japanese amateur team
• 2014 - Became the Clark Kokusai kantoku after Komadai Iwamisawa was shut down(!)

(I didn't know Komadai Iwamisawa had shut down! That's kinda sad.)

But it was a boon for Clark Kokusai, and why not? Sure Komadai Iwamisawa was no world beater, but he had the team consistently in Tier 2 status. So what did he do with Clark Kokusai since he took over and started the baseball program?

• 2014 Spring - Lost opening round to Takikawa Kougyou 9-0.
• 2014 Summer - Lost in 2nd round of Sorachi "A" Block to Iwamisawa Nougyou 4-3.
• 2014 Fall - Lost in 2nd round of Sorachi regionals to Takikawa Nishi 9-3.
• 2015 Spring - Lost opening round to Iwamisawa Ryokuryou 9-2
• 2015 Summer - Lost in 2nd round of Sorachi "B" Block to Ashibetsu 5-4 in 12 innings.
• 2015 Fall - Lost in 2nd round of Sorachi regionals to Takikawa Nishi 10-1.

Huh, well that's not impressive at all... Okay, so what about in 2016?

• 2016 Spring - Lost in 1st round of prefecturals 3-1 to Hakodate Kougyou.

Prefecturals? When they couldn't even win 2 in a row?

And then in the summer:

• Sorachi "A" Block - def. Iwamisawa Higashi 4-2
• Sorachi "A" Block - def. Fukagawa Nishi 11-1
• Prefecturals - def. Engaru 5x-4 (blew 4-1 lead in final 2 innings but won)
• Prefecturals Quaterfinals - def. Kushiro Kouryou 12-5
• Prefecturals Semifinals - def. Asahikawa Jitsugyou 5x-4 (blew 3-0 lead in final 2 innings but won)

The win against Engaru? Not bad. The win against Asahikawa Jitsugyou? That has my attention. Not to mention the fact that in both games, they gave up a run in the 8th, and 2 in the 9th both times to tie the game at 4-4, and then walked off in the 9th. That takes some fortitude right there.

And once you read the whole story, how fitting is it that their opponent in the Kita Hokkaido final was Takikawa Nishi - the team who they had eliminated them in the fall tournaments the last 2 years?

Would you believe that in the final, ace Hirasawatsu Toraki (平沢津 虎揮) pitched a 5-hit shutout to take the title 3-0?

Would you also believe that he was actually their SS before but became their side-throwing ace?

What the heck?

What the heck indeed! Go Clark Kokusai!

Yamagata - Tsuruoka Higashi

The Yamagata final was between the last 2 Natsu representatives - Tsuruoka Higashi looking to repeat, and Yamagata Chuo who had won in 2014...

And early it looked like your typical low scoring pitching affair. But when cleanup hitter Ooizumi hit a 2-run HR in the 5th, extending Yamagata Chuo's lead to 4-1 it seemed over.

But then the 8th came around, and it was obvious that ace Arasawa for Yamagata Chuo was out of steam, and yet he wasn't being pulled.

This despite loading the bases...

This despite walking a batter to make it 4-2...

This despite hitting a batter to make it 4-3...

Oh dear. If they're not pulling their ace, that means they don't have anyone else...

And when the CF misplays the next ball, turning tail to chase it to the wall, and Tsuruoka Higashi getting the 6-4 lead. You had to figure it was over.

But bottom 8th, Yamagata Chuo gets runners at the corners, and they have the balls to call a steal of 2nd, which works! And one grounder brought one run in. Then a grounder that looks like a double play isn't when the batter beats out the throw to 1st, and somehow we're all tied at 6!

Yamagata Chuo couldn't take the lead though, and that was bad. You have a struggling ace on the mound with no apparent backup. If history was any indication, for them to have any chance of winning, they had to win in the 9th. And while Arasawa held serve, so did Tsuruoka Higashi. And so to enchousen we went.

I couldn't tell you all that happened in the 10th because my feed had frozen up. But as I thought, Tsuruoka Higashi scores 2 in the 10th and now it seems over.

But flipping back to the game bottom 10, I see a walk, a HBP, and a single to load the bases! What?

And then there's a base hit to right, and 2 runners score! Wait. We're tied at 8-8!!

But with the sayonara run 90 feet away, Yamagata Chuo couldn't get the run home. And once again, they were in the same situation after the 8th.

And in the 11th, with runners at the corners, Tsuruoka Higashi executes the fake caught stealing, which somehow works as the runner from 3rd comes home to score, giving them the lead. That lead would expand to 10-8, and could you really expect Yamagata Chuo to come back from 2 runs down 3 times?

But then there's a walk, a HBP and another walk, and we have a manrui situation with 1 out. No way...

In that next AB though, the count goes to 3-1 and on a pitch that looks high and away, the umpire calls strike 2... Oh boy... That could have (and maybe should have) scored a run.

But the batter strikes out looking on a pitch inside and there's 2 out, setting up a P vs. P matchup to seemingly decide the game.

Arasawa though grounds out to 2nd and the game is over.

So in the end, Tsuruoka Higashi claims the title for the 2nd consecutive year, but perhaps in some controversial circumstances, and that's disappointing - to me anyways.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Blitzkrieg through the country (Kanto)

(Yes, I know I waited until last to do Kanto, it's such a big region that I need the time to sit down and go through it all. I seem to have less time - as seen by me not able to manually do each prefecture's brackets anymore.)

There's a lot to go through, so we're going to blitz through all of them to let you know where the major players are, or in some cases aren't. Unless otherwise stated by the prefecture themselves, I will refer to quadrants by number going top-down from left to right (Upper left = 1, lower left = 2, etc.)

Tochigi - Best 8
A lot of the prefectures here have made a lot of progress. They have to considering how many schools compete. Sakushin Gakuin has represented the prefecture the last 5 years, but have had less and less success:

• ① Bunsei Geidai Fuzoku vs. ① Sakushin Gakuin
• ① Yaita Chuo vs. Ashikaga Minami
• Motegi vs. Kuroiso
• ① Kokugakuin Tochigi vs. ① Seiran Taito

A lot of the seeded teams have reached the Best 8. Sakushin Gakuin is there again, and facing possibly the only team that could mount a challenge against them.

Ibaraki - Round of 16
I was so glad to see Kasumigaura make the Koushien tournament last year. They had been hitting the ceiling so much recently I thought they'd knock themselves out eventually. Sadly though, Ibaraki has had very little success as of late. Yes, Jyousou Gakuin did win it all back in 2003. But they are also responsible for 13 of the prefecture's 14 wins since 2000 (Fujishiro getting the only other one in 2005).

• ① Jyousou Gakuin vs. Chuo
• Toride Dai-ichi vs. ①Tokiwadai
• Mito Shougyou vs. Ryuugasaki Dai-ichi
• Taga vs. Shimotsuma Dai-ni
• ①Kasumigaura vs. Katsuta Kougyou
• Hasaki Yanagawa vs. Hitachi Kita
• Meishuu Gakuen Hitachi vs. Tsukuba Kokusaidai Harukaze
• Suijyou vs. Mito Kiryou

There were 10 seeded teams in Ibaraki, and of those just 3 are left, and 2 of them are the aforementioned Jyousou Gakuin, and last year's winner Kasumigaura.

Gunma - Round of 16
There's been a bit of regression, but that the only direction to go when first timers Maebashi Ikuei won it all back in 2013. That said, Kendai Takasaki has reached at least the 3rd round the past 2 years, so it's not all bad. And the representative from Gunma has only been one-and-done 5 times since 2000.

• ① Maebashi Ikuei vs. Kiryuu Dai-ichi
• Oota Higashi vs. ⑤~⑧ Kiryuu Shiritsu Shougyou
• ⑤~⑧ Kitoku vs. Chuo Chuutou
• Tone Jitsugyou vs. ③~④ Maebashi Kougyou
• Tatebayashi vs. Kiryuu Nishi
• Takasaki Shougyou vs. ⑤~⑧ Isesaki Seimei
• Takasaki Kougyou vs. Tone Shougyou
• Kiryuu Minami vs. ② Kendai Takasaki

The big 2 are still around, by Maebashi Ikuei has Kiryuu Dai-ichi standing in their way, which could be dicey.

Saitama - Round of 16
What boggles me more than Fukuoka not having success at Koushien is Saitama not having success at Koushien. They are one of the biggest prefectures by population and yet until from 2004-2011 they couldn't get past the 2nd round. The only explanation I can think of is that since some of the powerhouses in Tokyo and Kanagawa are just a stone's throw away, all the talent is moving there. Urawa Gakuin and Hanasaki Tokuharu bucked that trend, but it still feels like a long way to go.

• Shiritsu Kawagoe vs. ⑨~⑯ Shouchi Fukaya
• Wasedadai Honjyou vs. ⑤~⑧ Seibou Gakuen
• Hoshino vs. Urawa Jitsugyou
• ⑨~⑯ Oomiya Higashi vs. Saitama Sakae
• ①~② Hanasaki Tokuharu vs. Namegawa Sougou
• Kumagaya Shougyou vs. ⑤~⑧ Seibu Bunri
• ⑤~⑧ Kasukabe Kyouei vs. Oomiya Kougyou
• ⑨~⑯ Nanryou vs. ③~④ Ageo

Urawa Gakuin is not around, and that is because Shiritusu Kawagoe and ace Mendis Kai shut them out 1-0. This opens up the left side of the bracket, while Hanasaki Tokuharu is the favority to advance out of the right side and could be the prohibitive favorite to repeat.

Chiba - Round of 16
Chiba is also a quandry, though they may suffer from the same problems as Saitama with loss of talent. They've had deep runs - Toukaidai Urayasu (2000 runner-up), Narita and Chiba Keizaidai Fuzoku (2010 and 2004 semifinalists), but at the same time have won 1 or less games in 11 times since 2000.

• ①~④ Narita vs. Narashino
• ⑨~⑯ Chiba Keiai vs. ⑤~⑧ Tokyo Gakkan Urayasu
• Shourin vs. Tokyo Gakkan Funabashi
• ⑨~⑯ Shiritsu Funabashi vs. ①~④ Chiba Reimei
• ①~④ Toukaidai Ichihara Bouyou vs. Ryuutsuu Keizaidai Kashiwa
• ⑨~⑯ Senshuudai Matsudo vs. ⑤~⑧ Kisaradzu Sougou
• ⑤~⑧ Matsudo Kokusai vs. Funabashi Shibayama
• ⑨~⑯ Yachiyo Shouin vs. ①~④ Chiba Keizaidai Fuzoku

Despite being a big prefecture and 16 seeds in all, only 5 seeds have been upset and and only 1 in the top 8. So it's pretty chalk, and that's not including Narashino who is unseeded this year.

Nishi Tokyo/Higashi Tokyo - Best 8
Tokyo seems to be very cyclical in nature, and both seem to move relatively in tandem. Both were in force last year when Kanto Dai-ichi and Waseda Jitsugyou both reached the semifinals, creating the possibility of an all-Tokyo final. Both lost, but one wonders if both sides could make yet another run this year.

Nishi Tokyo

• ① Toukaidai Sugao vs. Kokugakuin Kugayama
• ③~⑦ Nichidai-san vs. ③~⑦ St. Paul Gakuen
• ③~⑦ Souka vs. Waseda Gakuin
• Waseda Jitsugyou vs. ② Hachiouji

Don't ask me how they determine the seeding. 7 seeded teams seems really odd, but of those 7, just 2 have been eliminated and both by Waseda schools. And what would be the 8th seed is filled by a Tier 3 school in Kokugakuin Kugayama, so this really feels scratch. What would you do if you had a Waseda Gakuin-Waseda Jitsugyou match? It's not like the Toukaidai school matches that we've seen, but it would be interesting to see the two schools play.

Higashi Tokyo

• ① Kanto Dai-ichi vs. ⑦~⑨ Shuutoku
• ④~⑥ Teikyou vs. ④~⑥ Jyoutou
• ③ Toua Gakuen vs. Nichidai Buzan
• ⑦~⑨ Edogawa vs. ② Nishogakushadai Fuzoku

We could be in store for the 10th meeting between Kanto Dai-ichi and Nishogakushadai Fuzoku in the past 10 years. If this were Kagawa or Shimane it wouldn't be all that impressive. But in Tokyo? and 3 of those were finals' matchup and 4 were semifinals? That's what I call a rivalry.

Kanagawa - 3rd round (in progress)
Kanagawa is the only prefecutre in the Kanto region that is not in the round of 16. In fact, they're still trying to get to the round of 32. They have certainly been one of the mainstays at Koushien, reaching the best 8 half of the time since 2000. That's impressive no matter how you look at it. And of course, they are home to the current champions, Toukaidai Sagami.

• Quadrant 1 - ①~④ Keiou, ⑤~⑧ Toukaidai Sagami, ⑨~⑯ Tourei Fujisawa & Kawasaki Kita
• Quadrant 2 - ①~④ Nichidai, ⑤~⑧ Touin Gakuen, ⑨~⑯ Hiratsuka Gakuen & Busou
• Quadrant 3 - ①~④ Yokohama, ⑤~⑧ Yokohama Hayato, ⑨~⑯ Yaei & Suge
• Quadrant 4 - ①~④ Fujisawa Shouryou, ⑤~⑧ Toukou Gakuen, ⑨~⑯ Koumyou Gakuen Sagamihara & Daishi

It's still early, so seeing most of the top seeds still alive isn't surprising as of now.

Yamanashi - Best 8 (in progress)
Rounding things out is Yamanashi. Sadly, outside of Toukaidai Koufu, the prefecture has had little success with no other school able to reach the Best 8, and in half of their apperances, they've been one-and done.

• ①~④ Toukaidai Koufu vs. ⑤~⑧ Hikawa
• ①~④ Tsuru vs. Teikyou Dai-san
• ①~④ Nihon Koukuu vs. Koufu Shougyou
• ①~④ Yamanashi Gakuin vs. ⑤~⑧ Fuji Gakuen

Toukaidai Koufu seems very determined to make their 3rd straight appearance, and I'm not sure they're going to be denied either unless it's by Nihon Koukuu. Also, don't be fooled by Yamanashi Gakuin's gaudy wins (19-2, 28-3). They're against very poor competition.

Natsu Koushien Qualifying - Blitzkrieg through the country (Hokushinetsu)

A majority of the prefectures kicked off play this last weekend. There's a lot to go through, so we're going to blitz through all of them to let you know where the major players are, or in some cases aren't. Unless otherwise stated by the prefecture themselves, I will refer to quadrants by number going top-down from left to right (Upper left = 1, lower left = 2, etc.)

Fukui - Round of 16 (in progress)
If you were to look at the Fukui page, it would say the 2nd round, but it is the round of 16 because Fukui sadly has 30 schools.

• "A" Zone - Fukui Koudai Fukui
• "B" Zone - Mikata
• "C" Zone - Keishin
• "D" Zone - Tsuruga Kehi

Tsuruga Kehi, Fukui's representative the last 2 years, was upset yesterday by Sakai. Tying the game at 2 after 7, the game went to enchousen and continued to the 15th (and final) inning. And at that moment, Sakai came through with 2 runs to shock the champions.

This opens the door for Fukui Koudai Fukui and unseeded Fukui Shougyou. But if Fukui Shougyou wins their game in a couple days' time, these 2 schools will square off, thinning the powerhouses even more and given them some hope. Though it will also give the winner a clearer path to the title.

Ishikawa - 2nd round (in progress)
Ishikawa has one of the worst overall winning percentages (0.380), but since 2000, teams from Ishikawa have at least won 1 game in all but 4 years - which isn't bad for a more rural prefecture.

• "A" Zone - Seiryou, Komatsu Meisei
• "B" Zone - Komatsu Nishi, Hokuriku Gakuin
• "C" Zone - Yuugakukan, Kanazawa
• "D" Zone - Kenritsu Kougyou, Kanazawa Shougyou

The seeded teams that have played so far have advanced with no issue. And the team I root for now because Seiryou got into their heads 2 years ago, Komatsu Ootani, has to play Komatsu Nishi today.

Nagano - Best 8
Nagano has had some success, winning at least 1 game in half of their appearances in the 2000's, but have been unable to get past the 3rd round. As for the qualifying, they have quickly gone from a field of 84 to the best 8, though perhaps that's more of the fact that they have not had the rainouts other prefectures have had:

• Komoro Shougyou vs. Nagano Nishi
• ⑤ Saku Chousei vs. Souzou Gakuen
• ③ Ueda Nishi vs. Tokyo Shidai Shiojiri
• ⑦ Matsumoto Fukashi vs. ② Matsushou Gakuen

That is seemingly a lot of carnage out there. Komoro Shougyou upset ① Matsumoto Dai-ichi right off the bat, so there they went. Nagano Nishi sent ⑧ Okaya Minami home in the 3rd round. ④ Nagano Nichidai did not look impressive at all, losing 8-2 to Souzou Gakuen. And it's not all surprising that Tokyo Shidai Shiojiri has upset an average school in ⑥ Nagano Shougyou.

Toyama - 2nd round (in progress)

Toyama has been a pleasant surprise, getting to the 3rd round 3 of the last 5 years and from schools not necessarily powerhouses in the prefecutre (Shin-Minato & Toyama Dai-ichi). This after recording a win in just 5 of their last 15 years.

• "A" Block - ① Takaoka Shougyou, ⑤ Toyama Shougyou
• "B" Block - ① Toyama, ⑤ Nanto Fukuno
• "C" Block - ① Toyama Dai-ichi, ⑤ Tonami Kougyou
• "D" Block - ① Namerikawa, ⑤ Toyama Kokusaidai Fuzoku

All 8 seeded teams were in play yesterday, with Toyama being the only casualty, losing 3-2 to Uodzu. They seemingly looked out of place as a top seed, and they got exposed in the 2nd round. Most teams are happy that both Takaoka Shougyou and Toyama Shougyou are in the same block as they will beat each other up and open things up for everyone else.

Niigata - Best 8
Niigata is surprisingly on schedule, given that they're normally subject to rainouts. Basically, 2 schools have had the only success out of the prefecture - Nihon Bunri (darn you Chuukyoudai Chuukyou) and Niigata Meikun. It doesn't mean that they're guaranteed to have success when they get there, but at least you know they have a chance.

• ① Niigata Meikun vs. ⑨~⑯ Nagaoka Shougyou
• ⑨~⑯ Maki vs. ④ Nagaoka Kougyou
• ③ Nagaoka Oote vs. ⑤~⑧ Kamo Gyousei
• ⑤~⑧ Teikyou Nagaoka vs. ⑨~⑯ Chuuetsu

All seeded teams, though as you can see, they go 16 deep. Missing is Nihon Bunri, who already was unseeded but did take Nagaoka Oote the distance before giving up the winning run in the bottom of the 8th, falling 2-1. Niigata Meikun could be considered the prohibitive favorite now, and the scores indicate that they're gaining steam. Chuuetsu is trying to make a repeat bid, and having defeated ② Hokuetsu, it might be possible, but a game Teikyou Nagaoka currently stands in their way. Don't count out the aforementioned Nagaoka Oote either, they're a solid Tier 3 school who may gain momentum defeating Nihon Bunri (because exercising demons is a thing).